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Bundesliga Accumulator: Saturday 30th & Sunday 31st May

It’s fair to say that the Bundesliga has had its fair share of upset results since the restart of the season. We have had 27 games in total and 12 of those have seen away wins, with just five home wins and the other ten matches all finishing in a draw. What is particularly irksome from a tippers perspective is that the home and away wins, and the draws, have included a high number of surprise results too.

Not many people would have had Wolfsburg thrashing Bayer Leverkusen on the road, nor would you have had Augsburg to thrash Schalke away from home. There’s been a fair few games like this and of course, it’s played havoc with the tips.

That’s why this week I decided to take a look at the effect having no fans is having on matches and the evidence does seem to suggest that home team advantage has gone out of the window here. That is interesting and something that I am going to take forward into my tips over the remainder of the season and also for when the Premier League restarts in a few weeks (fingers crossed!).

After a midweek session of games, we now have just six games left in the Bundesliga season for the majority of teams (Werder Bremen and Eintracht Frankfurt have one extra to play against each other) and Bayern’s win in midweek at Dortmund allied to a defeat for Leverkusen and draws for Borussia Moenchengladbach and Red Bull mean that the title race now looks over. However, the race for Champions League and Europa League places is still very much open, as well as the battle to avoid the drop.

Here’s my tips for this weekend’s matches, but remember the action starts on Friday with Freiburg taking on Bayer Leverkusen and goes through to Monday night when Cologne face Red Bull Leipzig.

Bundesliga Acca – 30th & 31st May

    • 2:30
    • Sat- Hertha Berlin v Augsburg - Home Win
    • 2:30
    • Sat - Schalke 04 v W.Bremen - Draw
    • 2:30
    • Sat - Wolfsburg v E.Frankfurt - Home Win
    • 5:00
    • Sun - Paderborn v B.Dortmund - Away Win
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Bet Analysis: Saturday 30th May

Hertha Berlin v Augsburg – Home Win

One of the few teams that have shown a vast improvement in form since the restart, Hertha Berlin have been very impressive winning two and drawing the other game to move well clear of the relegation places and up into midtable. Augsburg’s big win came at Schalke but they could only follow that up with a 0-0 home draw against bottom club Paderborn, so this is a big step up in quality for them. I think Hertha are a much better, stronger and in form side than Augsburg here and even though home teams have struggled since the restart, I am backing Hertha to earn their third win in four games here.

Schalke 04 v Werder Bremen – Draw

David Wagner’s team have been in freefall for the last six games, picking up just one point out of the 18 available and seeing themselves drop from sixth to ninth in the table. They face a Bremen side that have picked up four points from the last six available but who still find themselves six points from safety and five from the relegation playoff spot. Having seen both sides play of late, I just cannot see Schalke picking up a win at the moment, they seem devoid of attacking inspiration and flair. Bremen are looking the better of the two sides, but their form has been up and down all season. I almost went for a Werder win here, but I think Schalke will stop the rot and pick up a point.

Wolfsburg v Eintracht Frankfurt – Home Win

Wolfsburg are clear in sixth, three ahead of Hoffenheim and they will take on a Frankfurt team who somehow drew 3-3 against Freiburg in midweek despite having 21 shots at goal, 13 on target (compared to 5 and 4 for Freiburg). They missed a hatful of chances in that game, many not that difficult and it is this profligacy in front of goal that has seen them drop to 14th in the table. Wolfsburg were clinical at Leverkusen to pick up a fine win and I think they will do likewise here.

Bet Analysis: Sunday 31st May

Paderborn v Borussia Dortmund – Away Win

Dortmund need to respond positively after their loss to Bayern. A drop off in form here could have really worrying implications for their Champions League participation next season. Paderborn may be bottom but in the last game between the teams, they led 3-0 at half time at Signal Iduna Park, only for Dortmund to claw it back to 3-3 with a last gasp Marco Reus strike. With Haland a potential doubt after picking up a knock in the defeat at home to Bayern, I can see Lucian Favre changing things here and I’d expect the likes of Sancho, Can and maybe Reyna come into the team to freshen things up. It won’t be a straightforward win for Dortmund I feel, but I do feel they will do enough to claim the three points

Dean Wyatt

Author: Dean Wyatt

Dean Wyatt is the founder and editor here at Acca Nation. He’s been betting sports for over 20 years and is a profitable sports trader on the exchanges.

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