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Champions League Acca: Wed 28th November
Of the two Champions League sets of games this week, I think the better value betting is likely to be found on Wednesday night as there are more evenly contested matches scheduled for the penultimate set of games in Groups A to D.
I am hopeful that last night’s set of tips has landed me another winner, but if not then I am confident that this quartet has an excellent chance of coming through for me.
Key games this evening include two huge games in Liverpool’s Group C with the Reds facing a daunting trip to France to face Paris St Germain, while the other game in the group sees Napoli face Red Star Belgrade at the San Paolo.
There’s big games too in Spurs group where Barcelona head out on the road to face PSV Eindhoven, while Tottenham put their better form of late on the line in a crucial home game against Inter Milan, a game that Spurs simply have to win to stand any chance of progressing into the next phase of the competition, and even then their chances look slim.
By the end of tonight and with just one week of games to go, we should have a far better idea of how the Knockout Phase is shaping up in the New Year and we’ll also know which teams will be playing in dead rubbers on Matchday Six and who will have their Champions League futures on the line.
With Napoli’s odds way too short against Red Star Belgrade to make them an effective option, I’ve instead gone for the draw between Lokomotiv Moscow and a Galatasaray side who I feel are the better team but who struggle on the road in Europe. Russia is never an easy place to go at this time of the year with usually freezing conditions and I think that will give this very ordinary Lokomotiv side a chance to do something in this game. However, Galatasaray have the experience and I feel the tactical acumen to stifle the hosts and come away with either a 1-1 or 0-0 draw.
Paris St Germain v Liverpool – Home Win
Liverpool face a huge test against the brilliance of Paris St Germain’s attackers this week in Paris. The Reds may have won at Anfield, but on their only other visit to Paris to play the French champions, PSG won 3-0 and with the attacking players at their disposal, the Reds will fear a similar mauling, especially as their away form in Europe has been exceptionally poor this season. As such, I can’t back anything here other than a home win, but I do feel that Liverpool will score and keep things very close and while I’d love to think that they could perhaps steal a point, my money is on PSG taking three to leave Liverpool facing a final game winner-takes-all clash with Napoli and they may need to beat the Italians by two clear goals to progress.
PSV Eindhoven v Barcelona – Away Win
Barcelona suffered a rare defeat at home to Real Betis before the international break which means that PSV will know their opponents are beatable. However with Lionel Messi seemingly back from his broken arm, he adds an extra dimension to Barcelona’s play that they lack when the Argentinean genius is absent. That makes this game so much more difficult for PSV, especially when you view Messi’s performance at Wembley against Spurs earlier in the group phase. As such, I can’t go for anything other than a standard Barcelona, Messi-inspired win here.
Tottenham v Inter Milan – Draw
Inter only need a point from this game to go through while Spurs need to win and then get a better result than Inter achieve on the final night of action in order to go through to the next round. It is a huge ask for Spurs, as their final game is away to Barcelona, so Inter start as the big favourites to progress, if not to get the win in this game. That said, Inter showed enough tactical nous in the first game between the teams to suggest that they can come to London and pick up the result they need. With Spurs defence looking somewhat fragile in big games, I feel that may be their achilles heel here and as such, I feel a draw is the sensible bet.
Author: Dean Wyatt
Dean Wyatt is the founder and editor here at Acca Nation. He’s been betting sports for over 20 years and is a profitable sports trader on the exchanges.
better value betting is likely to be found on Wednesday night as there are more evenly contested matches scheduled for the penultimate set of games in Groups A to D.
