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FA Cup 3rd Round Acca Tip – 4th & 5th January

I’m not going to pull any punches, the last set of tips for New Year’s Day were dismal, but it is generally rare that I am so off the mark. I think it is harder at times time of the year to factor in team selections and the effects of tiredness and injury on teams and that does make things much more unpredictable.

Plus, aside from the top three, the Premier League is very tight this season and we have seen many more instances of bottom teams beating teams in the top half than we usually do, all of which has made things somewhat trickier in terms of being able to land tips consistently.

This weekend is a good case in point as it is FA Cup Third Round weekend, but you can bet that a good number of Premier League teams, and even some Championship sides, may well rest some key players for the games they have coming up, regardless of who the opposition is that they will face.

The one positive note is that with 31 of the 32 ties being played Saturday or Sunday (just Arsenal v Leeds takes place on Monday night), we do at least have a big selection of games to pick from for this week and I am quietly confident this little fourfold has a very good chance of success.

FA Cup Accumulator – 4th & 5th January 2020

    • 12:31
    • Sat - Burnley v Peterborough - Away Win
    • 12:31
    • Sat - Rochdale v Newcastle - Away Win
    • 5:31
    • Sat - Wolves v Man Utd - Home Win
    • 4:01
    • Sun - Liverpool v Everton - Draw
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Bet Analysis: Saturday 4th January 2020

Burnley v Peterborough – Away Win

Both of these teams have lost all of their last three games, and of course, Burnley play two divisions higher than Peterborough, so start this game as the clear favourites. However, I think this could be one of the big upsets of the round. In the past Burnley boss Sean Dyche has not been afraid to rest key players in the FA Cup, especially in the early rounds and I think that could be a costly decision against a Peterborough side which, while fragile defensively, arguably boast the best attack in League One. The trio of Maddison, Toney and Eisa have been electric all season and I think against a Burnley side likely to be weakened by a number of key players sitting it out, I can see them securing a massive win in what I feel is likely to be the FA Cup shock of the round.

Rochdale v Newcastle United – Away Win

I have no doubt that Newcastle boss Steve Bruce will ring the changes for the trip south to face a struggling Rochdale of League One, and it is worth remembering that Rochdale did push Manchester United hard in the Carabao Cup earlier this season. However, Dale are struggling in the lower reaches of League One and defensively they are not particularly strong. Newcastle have been hit hard by injuries in recent matches and I can see a much changed team here, but even so, they should have enough quality to snatch the goals they would need to land the win at the first attempt.

Wolves v Manchester United – Home Win

Wolves recent form has taken a bit of a battering of late with defeats to Man City, Liverpool and Watford. However, in the third round last year they defeated Liverpool and this year they face a Manchester United side who were well beaten last time out away to Arsenal. If anything, Wolves will likely be a tougher test for United than the Gunners as Nuno Santos doesn’t tend to make too many changes for the FA Cup. I can see Ole Gunnar Solskjaer playing a stronger than he would like side for this game given United have limited scope for a trophy this season, but even so, I still fancy Wolves to land another big third round scalp here.

Bet Analysis: Saturday 4th January 2020

Liverpool v Everton – Draw

The key to this game is what team will Jurgen Klopp field against Liverpool’s most fierce local rivals? In the EPL, Klopp named a much changed side but Liverpool still thrashed Everton 5-2 in an open and entertaining game. Since then, Everton have appointed Carlo Ancelotti, who has beaten Liverpool as manager of Napoli earlier this season in the Champions League and earned a draw at Anfield too. Everton fans will be hoping the Italian can keep that run of results going here, but I also feel Everton will probably rest one or two players, although I do feel they will name a full-strength team otherwise. If the Reds go very weak here, they could pay the price, but if they rest just a few, then I think they should be able to earn a draw, a result which probably neither manager would want, but which is preferable to a defeat.

Dean Wyatt

Author: Dean Wyatt

Dean Wyatt is the founder and editor here at Acca Nation. He’s been betting sports for over 20 years and is a profitable sports trader on the exchanges.

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