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FA Cup Third Round Acca – 6th to 9th January

No luck with our tips over the last couple of matchdays, in fact both kind of got off to a flying stop with both the first games going down, which made the next few days of tips somewhat anticlimactic.

Still, that’s how it goes with acca bets and it wasn’t too long before Christmas that I had my last win, so let’s hope we can kick start 2023 with a profit in this set of games, which this week come from that bastion of the English football calendar, the FA Cup Third Round.

Now over the years, this has become something of a tricky one to predict. With a number of Premier League teams, as well as some Championship teams, all deciding to rest key first team players for these games and in many cases, what is in effect a reserve team will play.

That of course does set up the chance of an upset and we’ve seen a few over recent years. Newcastle United 0-1 Cambridge United, Crawley Town 3-0 Leeds Utd, Newport County 2-1 Leicester, Wigan 1-0 Man City, Chelsea 2-4 Bradford City being just a few such results over the past seven or eight years or so.

This year there are a number of games where a similar kind of upset could happen, as well as five matches which pit two Premier League sides against each other, including the two ties of the round, Manchester United v Everton and Manchester City v Chelsea.

So, in addition to finding value odds, I am also trying to work out which teams will be weakened for these games – not an easy task, but one that I hope can still land us a nice profit this weekend with this set of tips.

FA Cup 3rd Round Acca – 6th to 9th Jan 2023

    • 8:00
    • Fri - Man Utd v Everton Home Win
    • 3:00
    • Sat - Brentford v West Ham Home Win
    • 3:00
    • Sat - Middlesbrough v Brighton Home Win
    • 4:30
    • Sun - Man City v Chelsea Home Win
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Bet Analysis: Friday 6th January

Manchester United v Everton – Home Win

Two teams very much on different trajectories, with United moving third in the EPL after their 3-0 win over Bournemouth in midweek, while Everton’s 4-1 home defeat to Brighton leaves them teetering on the brink of the relegation zone. The bad news for Everton is that Erik Ten Hag doesn’t really make massive changes to his team for cup games. A few key players may be rested on the bench, but he still picks a very strong team and although Everton did manage a draw at Manchester City last weekend, I can’t see them doing enough to pick up a positive result here. I think Manchester United win this one easily.

Bet Analysis: Saturday 7th January

Brentford v West Ham – Home Win

After a superb win over Liverpool on Monday, Brentford have now lost just one of their last six games against the big six, winning four of them, including wins over Man City, Man Utd, Chelsea and Liverpool in that run. In contrast, West Ham’s struggled have been well documented in the Premier League and while the FA Cup offers them a distraction from their torrid EPL campaign, a London derby away against an in form Brentford, even if some players are rested, is a very tough ask. The Hammers have a good cup record over the years and had this been last season, I’d have probably gone with them for the win but at the moment, I think Brentford are one of the form teams in the Premier League right now and I’d expect them to land the win here too.

Middlesbrough v Brighton – Home Win

Having looked at the games where a potential giant-killing could be on the cards, I think this game at the Riverside likely offers me the best chance of landing one. Middlesbrough have lost just one of their last five games, winning the other four and that loss came away to league leaders Burnley. Brighton come into this game on the back of a superb win over Everton at Goodison Park but I can see manager Roberto de Zerbi making plenty of changes to the team that played that night in the hope of keeping them rested for their Premier League campaign. Brighton’s squad depth isn’t the same as some other Premier League teams and if Middlesbrough are at full-strength, or close to it, I feel that they may well edge out a weakened Brighton side here.

Bet Analysis: Sunday 8th January

Manchester City v Chelsea – Home Win

These two teams will have met just days previously in the Premier League at Stamford Bridge, although I would expect both managers to name somewhat different teams to those that played on Thursday night. Both squads though are packed with talented players, so both teams should still be very strong and more than capable of winning this game. However, with home advantage and a squad packed with talent even down to their second-string, I’d expect Manchester City to claim the win here and end Chelsea’s record of appearing in all of the last three finals. The Londoners would likely have to play a full-strength team here to stand a chance of the win and I can’t see them doing that, hence City is the sensible option to back here.


Dean Wyatt

Author: Dean Wyatt

Dean Wyatt is the founder and editor here at Acca Nation. He’s been betting sports for over 20 years and is a profitable sports trader on the exchanges.

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