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Midweek European Accumulator – 7th – 9th May

Given that there are not so many top class fixtures this week alongside the big second legs of the Champions League and Europa League semifinals (well, not unless you are huge fan of the Finnish league), I have decided to slightly alter my tips this week to encompass all four of the second legs across the three days of action from Tuesday to Thursday.

Things kick off at Anfield where Liverpool face a mammoth task of coming back from a 3-0 first leg deficit to a Lionel Messi-inspired Barcelona. The Reds actually played very well in the Nou Camp but some outstanding finishing from Suarez and Messi, plus a healthy slice of good fortune, saw Barcelona win the game with a very flattering scoreline. It looks like being a tough night at Anfield for the Reds, but if they can get an early goal, could an impossible comeback, in a Champions League packed with them this season, be on?

On Wednesday night Ajax hold a slender 1-0 lead over Tottenham from the first leg in London but the Dutch side have not been so impressive at home as they have on the road in Europe this season. Spurs will also have Son back in the team after he missed the first game through suspension and that could make things much more even as they sorely missed the South Korean on home soil.

Things look better for the two English teams in the Europa League on Thursday where Arsenal take a 3-1 lead from the first leg in London to the Mestalla to face Valencia, while Chelsea have an away goal and parity assured after their 1-1 draw at the Commerzbank Arena against Eintracht Frankfurt. There is a real possibility of an all-English Europa League final at least, certainly more so than in the Champions League.

Here’s how I see the big games going this week in Europe.

Midweek European Acca – 7th – 9th May

    • 8:00
    • Liverpool v Barcelona - Home Win
    • 8:00
    • Ajax v Tottenham - Away Win
    • 8:00
    • Chelsea v E.Frankfurt - Home Win
    • 8:00
    • Valencia v Arsenal - Home Win
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Bet Analysis: 7th May

Liverpool (0) v (3) Barcelona  – Home Win

I’ve never seen a team dominate Barcelona at the Nou Camp as Liverpool did for the majority of this game. However Luis Suarez netted a well-taken opener and then with just a quarter of an hour to go, Lionel Messi stepped up to score a fortunate second and then a third which only he is capable of scoring to give Barcelona a huge lead and a massively lop-sided scoreline to what was otherwise a game the Reds played well in. Despite that defeat, Liverpool showed that they can get at Barcelona and in truth, they should have had at least one goal from that game as they were unusually profligate in front of goal. Anfield will have an incredible atmosphere on Tuesday and I feel Liverpool can win the game. Whether they can win by enough to go through is doubtful, but it is worth remembering, Barcelona were 4-1 up against Roma from the first leg last season and lost the return 3-0 to be eliminated. Could lightning strike twice here? It’s unlikely, but if one team can do Champions League comebacks from 3-0 down, especially at home, it is Liverpool.

Bet Analysis: 8th May

Ajax (1) v (0) Tottenham – Away Win

There was no denying that in the first half of this game last week, Tottenham were hanging on as Ajax were decimating them with some slick and incisive passing. The Dutch side fully deserved their lead from this game as Spurs looked toothless in attack and the likes of Alli and Eriksen never really grabbed hold of the game to influence it. However, that Spurs side lacked Son in attack and the South Korean is a massive player for them and he will return from suspension for the away leg. Suddenly, Spurs on the counter look a much more dangerous threat and I can see them having more joy against Ajax here. I always felt Spurs would have a better chance of winning on the road and so I am backing them to do so here. Pochettino managed to nullify Ajax in the second half of the first leg. If he can do that here for 90 minutes and with Son the focal point of the attack, Spurs have a chance to pull off a win and at least take the game to extra time. From then on, it is anybody’s game to win.

Bet Analysis: 9th May

Chelsea (1) v (1) Eintracht Frankfurt – Home Win

Chelsea came back from the away leg in Germany with a very well earned draw from that game. They responded well from Luka Jovic’s fine header giving the German side the lead and when Pedro levelled, it was about what the Londoners deserved and they could have even won it had David Luiz’s effort not clattered the crossbar. Chelsea have been very consistent at home this season both in Europe and also out of it, but Frankfurt have also been very strong on the road, their one defeat to Benfica coming after they went down to 10 men early in the game. For me, this game is far from over and I can see Frankfurt scoring at Stamford Bridge, but I also feel Chelsea will do so too. My gut feeling says with Hazard in the team from the start and at home, Chelsea will just about scrape the win, but it should be a close run thing.

Valencia (1) v (3) Arsenal – Home Win

The Gunners will be thrilled after Pierre Emerick Aubameyang turned a 2-1 win into a 3-1 victory for the home side in the final minute of the game last week and that goal does make this second leg so much more difficult for the home side. If Arsenal score, as I feel they will, Valencia will need three goals to take the game into extra time and four to win and I feel that may be beyond them, even against Arsenal’s somewhat poor defence. Having built up that lead in the first leg, I can see the Gunners trying to sit back and hit Valencia on the counter-attack, something Unai Emery’s teams have done superbly well in the past in this competition. I do think Valencia will win the second leg on home soil, but I think Arsenal have done just enough at home and will do enough in Spain to claim a place in the final.

Dean Wyatt

Author: Dean Wyatt

Dean Wyatt is the founder and editor here at Acca Nation. He’s been betting sports for over 20 years and is a profitable sports trader on the exchanges.

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