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Saturday’s Football Accumulator – Sat 11th May

I’m a little bit on tenterhooks at the moment as I am writing this on Thursday afternoon as per usual and I know that the two big money results that I had backed in the Champions League this week, Liverpool to win and Spurs to win, have come in. I now just need Chelsea and Valencia to land home wins in the Europa League tonight to land that elusive acca win.

So while I await that, it’s time to look ahead to the weekend and this week is a little bit unusual as we don’t have any Premier League games at all taking place on Saturday, with all games kicking off at 3pm on Sunday instead. So that means we’ll have plenty to pick from for tomorrow’s article, but games are a bit thinner on the ground today.

So what I have done is go through the big games in England on Saturday, which are three big Play Off First Leg ties from League Two and two from the Championship. I have also added a game from Serie A, as my tips from there this season have generally been bang on the money and I want to try and finish the season with a bang.

First up we have a massive Midlands derby as Aston Villa face West Brom and then at 2pm Atalanta take on Genoa in Serie A. A teatime we have the second Championship Playoff first leg from Pride Park as Derby County face Leeds United and this is followed later in the evening by a huge game from the Stadium of Light as two former Premier League sides, Sunderland and Portsmouth clash in the League One Playoff final, with neither of those sides in particularly good from heading into that game.

Let’s now take a look at my tips for this weekend’s Play Off-inspired accumulator.

Saturday’s Acca – Saturday 11th May

    • 12:30
    • Aston Villa v West Brom - Home Win
    • 2:00
    • Atalanta v Genoa - Home Win
    • 5:15
    • Derby County v Leeds Utd - Home Win
    • 7:30
    • Sunderland v Portsmouth - Home Win
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Bet Analysis: 11th May

Aston Villa v West Brom  – Home Win

These two teams Midlands rivals have both enjoyed decent ends to their campaign, although after the start they made, West Brom will perhaps be a little disappointed not to be promoted automatically. The Baggies have looked beatable in recent weeks with Derby, Bristol City and Leeds all recording wins over them while Villa have been resolute, their defeat at home to Norwich on the final day being their first in 14 games, 12 of those ending in victories. A derby game in a play off could not be any more intense and while I cannot see this being a game packed with goals, it is worth noting that away teams have done better in this fixture this season, Villa drawing 2-2 at the Hawthorns while West Brom won 2-0 at Villa Park in February. I can see this being very tight and close but I am backing Villa to pinch it by a single goal to set up a nervy second leg.

Atalanta v Genoa – Home Win

Atalanta’s investment in youth has paid dividends for the team this season as they lie in fourth place in the table and on the brink of qualifying for a Champions League place, if they can hold off the challenge of Milan, Roma, Torino and Lazio behind them. With 18 wins they have more than double that of Genoa, who lie in 16th and who are not yet safe from the drop. Genoa did inflict a 3-1 defeat on Atalanta when the two teams met earlier in the season though in what was a rare off day for the home side here, but I think given their recent form and the fact that they are so close to securing Champions League football next season, the home side should have more than enough quality to get the win here and take a big step towards securing a top four finish.

Derby County v Leeds United – Home Win

Leeds finished nine points clear of Derby County but ended up six points away from automatic promotion in what has been a worrying end of season drop off in form for Marcelo Bielsa’s men. The team has not really been the same since the “spygate” issue and they have not won a match inf our games, losing three of those matches. In contrast, following a 2-0 loss at Blackburn, Derby have won four of the last six games to earn a playoff spot ahead of Middlesbrough and they have beaten some good teams, including potential playoff opponent West Brom, in those games. Leeds may have the more points on the season and won both of the clashes between the teams this season, but for me, Derby are the form team and I think this is the game they will get their revenge with a narrow win to defend at Elland Road.

Sunderland v Portsmouth – Home Win

These two teams were leapfrogged by Charlton on the final day and now must face each other for a place in the League One Playoff final. There’s little between the teams in the league with Sunderland just three points worse off but having a one better goal difference than Pompey. Portsmouth won the Football League trophy final between the two on penalties and Sunderland will be itching for revenge for that game and the 1-1 draw in the league a few weeks back. I think the Black Cats can do it though and I think they’ll take a very narrow lead with them to Fratton Park for the second leg.

Dean Wyatt

Author: Dean Wyatt

Dean Wyatt is the founder and editor here at Acca Nation. He’s been betting sports for over 20 years and is a profitable sports trader on the exchanges.

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