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EPL Accumulator Tip – 27th, 28th, 29th September 2020

Last weekend was a bit of a frustrating one as my Saturday selections romped home and I felt really optimistic heading into Sunday’s games, but then both those games didn’t quite pan out as I expected, although sendings off, penalty misses and Liverpool suddenly finding the right defensive mix played a large part in that.

However, I am pleased with how my Saturday selections went and I have noted that this season in the Premier League so far we have had 18 matches, 11 of those have finished in victories for the away team (61%), while the remaining seven games have been all home wins (39%). That means we are yet to have a single draw in the 18 games played this season in the EPL.

I am not sure that this anomaly will continue beyond this week however as I think there are a couple of games that look primed to end all-square (indeed, I have picked one of them in my selection below), but I also feel that we could well see another run on away wins, especially across Saturday and Sunday’s games.

If you remember, when the Bundesliga returned, there were a large proportion of away wins in that league too and it seems something similar is happening in the EPL at the moment.

Anyway, here’s my selection for this weekend’s games.

Premier League Acca – Sat 26th & Sun 27th & Mon 28th September

    • 12:30
    • Sat - Brighton v Man Utd - Away Win
    • 8:00
    • Sat - Burnley v Southampton - Draw
    • 12:00
    • Sun - Sheff Utd v Leeds Utd - Away Win
    • 8:15
    • Mon - Liverpool v Arsenal - Home Win
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Bet Analysis: Saturday 26th September

Brighton v Manchester United – Away Win

Brighton bounced back from losing to Arsenal to smash Newcastle United 3-0 at St James’ Park last week with full back Tariq Lamptey catching the eye with a stunning performance. Manchester United were well beaten 3-1 by Crystal Palace at Old Trafford in what was a huge blow to the Red Devils and means that they must pick up a win here or else they could fall six points behind their main title rivals. What United will turn up at the AMEX this week? The one that is capable of beating Manchester City and Liverpool, or the one that timidly surrended to Palace last week. I am betting on the former.

Burnley v Southampton – Draw

Both these two teams have endured a winless start to the season, Burnley losing their opener last week to Leicester City, while Southampton have lost both their opening games in what is a worry for manager Ralph Hassenhutl. As such, I think both teams will view this game as one they must not lose, rather than one that they need to win and I think that could impact how both approach this game. Defensively Burnley look to be better than the Saints, albeit not by much and I think Southampton’s attack is slightly better than Burnley’s. I feel these two teams kind of cancel each other out and as such, I think a draw is the likely outcome, which may be the first one of the season in the Premier League.

Bet Analysis: Sunday 27th September

Sheffield United v Leeds United – Away Win

Yorkshire derby games can be fractious and passionate affairs and I think that this game has all the ingredients to be just that. Sheffield United will be smarting after losing at Aston Villa, having a player sent off and missing a penalty in the process. Leeds have been involved in two 4-3 games so far this season, losing the first and winning the second and Marcelo Bielsa won’t change how his team plays despite them leaking seven goals. I can see goals in this game but I just feel Leeds extra spark in the final third of the field will be the key difference in this game and as such, I am backing them to come out on top and condemn the Blades to a third successive defeat.

Bet Analysis: Monday 28th September

Liverpool v Arsenal – Home Win

After conceding three in a stuttering win over Leeds, Liverpool bounced back to form with a fine 2-0 win over Chelsea in a game that the Reds controlled from start to finish, even before Chelsea went down to 10 men just before halftime. However, they face a stern test against Mikel Arteta’s Arsenal who beat them in the league last season and then beat the Reds on penalties in the Charity Shield earlier on in the season. The Gunners have started with two wins from their opening two games too but their record at Anfield in recent times is dreadful and with Mo Salah and Sadio Mane finding their feet in the new season, I think they will be key in leading Liverpool to a third win in a row this season.

Dean Wyatt

Author: Dean Wyatt

Dean Wyatt is the founder and editor here at Acca Nation. He’s been betting sports for over 20 years and is a profitable sports trader on the exchanges.

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