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Premier League Acca – 15th & 16th April
At the risk of sounding like Victor Meldrew. I don’t believe it. It’s happened again.
Once again we landed three Europa League results absolutely bang on the money only for Bayer Leverkusen to let us down by not beating Union St Gilloise.
I sound like a stuck record going on about these near misses all the time, but I cannot ever remember where I have hit 3/4 so often without landing a winner in amongst them.
Anyway, we return to action this weekend with the Premier League as with Easter out of the way, we now focus on the final few weeks of this elongated and seemingly never-ending season.
There are a number of intriguing games this week including Aston Villa taking on Newcastle in a battle between two of the four teams with the best form in the Premier League at present.
Arsenal face a London derby away to West Ham, while Manchester City should be a banker for three points as they face a desperately poor Leicester City side at the Etihad fresh on the back of a 3-0 win over Bayern Munich in the Champions League in midweek.
Nine games take place on Saturday and Sunday with only the Leeds United v Liverpool clash moved to Monday in a game that looks like being a tricky one to predict (so I am glad I am leaving that one alone this week as both these teams have let me down a fair bit this season).
Anyway, let’s get cracking with our tips for this weekend’s quartet of games.
Wolves have a slightly better record than Brentford over their last five games and the have picked up 23 of their 34 points at home this season. Brentford have won just three times on the road, but have drawn seven games, losing five, which does suggest that they may be a side capable of picking up at least a point here. I do kind of agree with that assessment given Wolves problems scoring goals, where they average less than a goal a game in the Premier League, while Brentford average over 1.5 goals per game. So what does this mean? Well I can’t see a high scoring game in this one and I think that it is likely we will see a 0-0 or 1-1 draw, which is why the draw is the best option for me here.
Everton v Fulham – Home Win
I think it is fair to say that since Sean Dyche came in at Everton, he has dragged this team back to some kind of Premier League calibre side. They now look much more organised defensively and there are real signs that the famous Everton never-say-die spirit is back. The Toffees home form is also much improved and that means bad news for Marco Silva’s Fulham who have now lost all their last four games and will be without key striker Aleksandr Mitrovic for almost all the remainder of the season. Everton’s home and Fulham’s away records are very similar, so a draw seems to be the shout, but I disagree and think Everton’s situation combined with Fulham’s lack of form means a narrow win for the home side here.
Chelsea v Brighton – Draw
Can Frank Lampard get his Chelsea side right for this big game against a Brighton side that are four places and 7 points ahead of Chelsea in the table? After losing 2-0 to Real Madrid in the week, the home side need a boost ahead of the second leg of that game but I think playing against a Brighton side who were robbed by VAR officials last weekend against Spurs, and who have been in superb form this season, is not going to be easy. There’s no real cogency to Chelsea’s play at the moment and everything looks and feels a bit forced. Brighton, in contrast, play as a real unit and as such, I am backing them to pick up a good point here.
Bet Analysis: Sunday 16th April
West Ham v Arsenal – Away Win
Can Arsenal bounced back from drawing 2-2 with Liverpool last weekend, after leading 2-0, against a West Ham side who they have a superb record against in recent times? The Hammers earned a draw in midweek in their Europa Conference League quarterfinal against Gent in Belgium but they didn’t play particularly well and that lack of consistency has dogged the Hammers all season. You can’t say that about Arsenal though as they have been superb for the duration of the campaign and while last week was two points dropped, they are still in with a big chance of the title and I think they’ll enhance those chances by landing a crucial win here to get them very much back on track in the title race.
Author: Dean Wyatt
Dean Wyatt is the founder and editor here at Acca Nation. He’s been betting sports for over 20 years and is a profitable sports trader on the exchanges.
