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Premier League Acca – Matchday 7 – 30th September, 1st October

Well, I may still be massively in profit for the season due to my big win on the opening week of the campaign, but for the first time this season, I felt last week’s tips were disappointing.

My Europa League ones were not that great and the same can be said for the Premier League tips at the weekend. Although I still hit some games on the money, I felt too many didn’t go as I planned.

I have evaluated this, checking the data once again and I think I may have been odds blinded a little, going for the value a little more than I should have done.

Anyway, I am hoping to get back to more positive results this week with another set of games in the Premier League, the seventh matchday of the season.

Last week’s draw between Arsenal and Tottenham meant that Liverpool moved into sole occupation of second spot, two points behind Man City, while Brighton leapfrogged the North London duo to third after their Kaoru Mitoma-inspired win over Bournemouth.

This weekend sees eight games on Saturday, with one each on Sunday and Monday, the latter game being the London derby between Fulham and Chelsea.

The big game on Saturday is the 5.30pm kick off as Liverpool head to London to take on Spurs in the first of two tough away games (the next coming against Brighton). Leaders Manchester City travel to Wolves while Arsenal are also on the road at Bournemouth.

Newcastle, fresh from their eight goal demolition of Sheffield United now face Burnley at home in a game that they will feel confident of winning.

Let’s now take a look at the tips I’ve picked for this weekend’s action.

Premier League Acca – 30th September, 1st October

    • 12:30
    • Sat - Aston Villa v Brighton Away Win
    • 3:00
    • Sat - West Ham v Sheff Utd Home Win
    • 5:30
    • Sat - Tottenham v Liverpool Draw
    • 2:00
    • Sun - N.Forest v Brentford Home Win
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EPL Bet Analysis: Saturday 30th September

Aston Villa v Brighton – Away Win

Both these sides had outstanding wins last week, Brighton a comfortable home win over Bournemouth, while Aston Villa went to Chelsea and took full advantage of the home sides troubles, and the fact they went down to ten men, to claim a 1-0 road win, their first away points of the season. Villa have won all three of their home games and that has propelled them up the table and into the thick of things in the top six. Both teams have good recent records, four wins and one defeat and I can forgive people for thinking that the draw was a solid option here. Villa have also won all the last four between the two and Brighton’s sole win in the last 16 came back in November 2020. So a Villa win here then? No. As good as Villa can be, I think Brighton are overdue a win here and I have this sneaking feeling that we may have a late winner go the way of the Seagulls on Saturday.

West Ham v Sheffield United – Home Win

David Moyes West Ham had a good 3-1 win in Europe in midweek, but were well beaten 3-1 by Liverpool at Anfield and they now return to London to take on a Sheffield United side who have to bounce back after their 8-0 home defeat to rampant Newcastle United last weekend. The Hammes won both games between the two in the 2020/21 season, including a 3-0 win at home and unfortunately for Paul Heckingbottom and his team, I can only see them doing a similar kind of thing on Saturday against a Sheffield United side who look increasingly out of their depth in the top division.

Tottenham v Liverpool – Draw

Spurs last win over Liverpool came vack in 2017 and it has been their only win over the Reds since November 2012. Out of those 23 games in total, along with Spurs solitary win, there have been six draws and Liverpool have won the other 16 including 9 of the last 11 games between the two. However, that historic form may be misleading as we have two new look teams here. Spurs under Ange Postecoglou showed their qualities in last week’s draw away to Arsenal to remain unbeaten, while Liverpool have rebuilt their attack and particularly their midfield in recent times. So I think we could be set for another hard battle here and one that I think will likely end in a draw, which is a result which will suit Man City rather than either of these two teams.

Premier League Bet Analysis: Sunday 1st October

Nottingham Forest v Brentford – Home Win 

Just one point separates these two teams and they are also next to each other in the table with Forest 12th and Brentford 13th. Forest are unbeaten at home this season while Brentford have failed to win since their opening day victory over Fulham at Craven Cottage. More worryingly for Thomas Frank is that his team has now lost their last two games, including a surprising 3-1 defeat at home to Everton last weekend. A game with Arsenal in the EFL Cup is not ideal preparation for this game either. As such, I am backing the home side to narrowly come out in top of what should be a game with plenty of chances.


Dean Wyatt

Author: Dean Wyatt

Dean Wyatt is the founder and editor here at Acca Nation. He’s been betting sports for over 20 years and is a profitable sports trader on the exchanges.

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